1 00:00:00,220 --> 00:00:12,330 [Music] 2 00:00:18,060 --> 00:00:15,570 so shifting gears actually downshifting 3 00:00:22,890 --> 00:00:18,070 back to basics finding planets in the 4 00:00:24,210 --> 00:00:22,900 habitable zone so we probably have heard 5 00:00:24,780 --> 00:00:24,220 about the k2 mission which is the 6 00:00:27,030 --> 00:00:24,790 repurposed 7 00:00:28,769 --> 00:00:27,040 Kepler spacecraft so a couple years ago 8 00:00:31,290 --> 00:00:28,779 Kepler lost two of its reaction wheels 9 00:00:33,810 --> 00:00:31,300 which makes it unable to point steadily 10 00:00:35,340 --> 00:00:33,820 and significantly degrade the photometry 11 00:00:39,150 --> 00:00:35,350 that comes out of it so we're trying to 12 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:39,160 find transiting planets with k2 but the 13 00:00:46,380 --> 00:00:41,890 telescope is essentially crippled in a 14 00:00:49,650 --> 00:00:46,390 sense and so this is what a typical 15 00:00:51,810 --> 00:00:49,660 planet hosting kepler star looks like in 16 00:00:53,760 --> 00:00:51,820 this case it's I think it's a 11th 17 00:00:57,120 --> 00:00:53,770 magnitude Kepler band star with a hot 18 00:01:00,270 --> 00:00:57,130 Jupiter this is a very similar star 19 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:00,280 observed by k2 also 11th magnitude also 20 00:01:05,730 --> 00:01:02,530 has transiting planets and yet the data 21 00:01:08,130 --> 00:01:05,740 look terrible the raw data you could not 22 00:01:11,219 --> 00:01:08,140 buy I pick out any transits in this 23 00:01:13,649 --> 00:01:11,229 light curve I think that might be one 24 00:01:15,749 --> 00:01:13,659 but you can't be sure and Saudi trending 25 00:01:18,980 --> 00:01:15,759 is a very important part of analyzing 26 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:18,990 data with k2 and I just wanted to 27 00:01:23,279 --> 00:01:21,490 motivate a little bit of this why is the 28 00:01:24,120 --> 00:01:23,289 data so poor with k2 so the spacecraft 29 00:01:26,099 --> 00:01:24,130 camp point 30 00:01:27,870 --> 00:01:26,109 fine but you're still observing the star 31 00:01:29,190 --> 00:01:27,880 and the star is still in your aperture 32 00:01:31,020 --> 00:01:29,200 so aren't you collecting the same amount 33 00:01:33,830 --> 00:01:31,030 of flux that would be true if you had a 34 00:01:36,179 --> 00:01:33,840 perfect detector but in real life 35 00:01:37,859 --> 00:01:36,189 detectors are not homogeneous and their 36 00:01:39,809 --> 00:01:37,869 sensitivity and so actual quantum 37 00:01:45,330 --> 00:01:39,819 efficiency variations in the pixels and 38 00:01:46,709 --> 00:01:45,340 across the pixels translate to change in 39 00:01:49,830 --> 00:01:46,719 the total flux you're receiving from the 40 00:01:53,419 --> 00:01:49,840 target that in the case of K 2 where the 41 00:01:55,679 --> 00:01:53,429 drift occurs on very short timescales 42 00:01:58,649 --> 00:01:55,689 accompanied by so the reason you have 43 00:02:01,289 --> 00:01:58,659 this jigsaw or this jagged pattern is 44 00:02:03,209 --> 00:02:01,299 that every six hours the spacecraft 45 00:02:06,770 --> 00:02:03,219 fires a thruster to come back and point 46 00:02:11,490 --> 00:02:06,780 to the original field when you convolve 47 00:02:13,380 --> 00:02:11,500 in homogeneous detector with strong 48 00:02:15,300 --> 00:02:13,390 motion you get a light curve that looks 49 00:02:17,610 --> 00:02:15,310 essentially like this now this is just 50 00:02:20,460 --> 00:02:17,620 simulated data but this is real k2 51 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:20,470 motion and so another wise flat and 52 00:02:24,420 --> 00:02:21,970 featureless light curve which may or may 53 00:02:24,920 --> 00:02:24,430 not have transits gets degraded in this 54 00:02:27,110 --> 00:02:24,930 fashion 55 00:02:29,270 --> 00:02:27,120 and the problem at hand is we don't 56 00:02:31,459 --> 00:02:29,280 actually have this information about the 57 00:02:33,380 --> 00:02:31,469 pixel sensitivity in each pixel all we 58 00:02:35,509 --> 00:02:33,390 get is this severely downgraded low 59 00:02:39,550 --> 00:02:35,519 resolution image of what the stars doing 60 00:02:43,369 --> 00:02:39,560 over time and so what my pipeline does 61 00:02:45,259 --> 00:02:43,379 are actually sorry one slide before I 62 00:02:47,929 --> 00:02:45,269 get to that the question you might ask 63 00:02:50,259 --> 00:02:47,939 is why bother we have spacecraft like 64 00:02:53,089 --> 00:02:50,269 test coming up on line later this year 65 00:02:55,000 --> 00:02:53,099 that are going to survey the entire sky 66 00:02:58,610 --> 00:02:55,010 and find tons of more habitable planets 67 00:03:02,179 --> 00:02:58,620 I want to make a pitch here for yk2 is 68 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:02,189 still awesome this is to scale so the 69 00:03:07,220 --> 00:03:05,010 the actual collecting area of the Kepler 70 00:03:09,830 --> 00:03:07,230 spacecraft is still much larger than 71 00:03:12,170 --> 00:03:09,840 that of Tess and so the potential noise 72 00:03:14,030 --> 00:03:12,180 floor for Kepler is still going to be 73 00:03:17,119 --> 00:03:14,040 the best out there for detecting these 74 00:03:18,770 --> 00:03:17,129 transiting planets in bulk now Tess has 75 00:03:20,209 --> 00:03:18,780 awesome properties it's going to observe 76 00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:20,219 the whole sky it's going to do it at 77 00:03:24,979 --> 00:03:23,250 much higher cadence but while we still 78 00:03:26,209 --> 00:03:24,989 have fuel for k2 we want to use it I'm 79 00:03:30,649 --> 00:03:26,219 going to continue to find Heather Bowl 80 00:03:32,930 --> 00:03:30,659 planet and so what my pipeline does is 81 00:03:33,619 --> 00:03:32,940 to use a method called pixel level 82 00:03:35,240 --> 00:03:33,629 decorrelation 83 00:03:37,009 --> 00:03:35,250 it's a machine learning model we're 84 00:03:40,729 --> 00:03:37,019 actually using information at the pixel 85 00:03:42,679 --> 00:03:40,739 level and you build up some large matrix 86 00:03:44,899 --> 00:03:42,689 of regressors and you do some linear 87 00:03:47,990 --> 00:03:44,909 algebra and it's based on stuff that 88 00:03:49,399 --> 00:03:48,000 Drake Deming has done for Spitzer but 89 00:03:51,710 --> 00:03:49,409 basically at the end of the day I won't 90 00:03:53,179 --> 00:03:51,720 get into the math of this you start with 91 00:03:55,539 --> 00:03:53,189 the like or they look like this and at 92 00:03:58,309 --> 00:03:55,549 the end of the day you actually recover 93 00:04:00,499 --> 00:03:58,319 the original Kepler precision for bright 94 00:04:02,420 --> 00:04:00,509 stars which allows you to do very 95 00:04:02,869 --> 00:04:02,430 precise photometry and find transiting 96 00:04:05,449 --> 00:04:02,879 planets 97 00:04:07,429 --> 00:04:05,459 now you can look back and see in fact 98 00:04:09,439 --> 00:04:07,439 that these are comparable precision at 99 00:04:11,719 --> 00:04:09,449 the same magnitude and if you look at 100 00:04:15,050 --> 00:04:11,729 the distribution of magnitudes for stars 101 00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:15,060 d trended with Everest which is the RK 2 102 00:04:19,580 --> 00:04:17,370 pipeline you can see that the 103 00:04:21,289 --> 00:04:19,590 photometric precision as a function of 104 00:04:22,490 --> 00:04:21,299 magnitude follows a very similar 105 00:04:24,200 --> 00:04:22,500 distribution to that of the original 106 00:04:27,140 --> 00:04:24,210 Kepler mission before the reaction 107 00:04:28,430 --> 00:04:27,150 wheels failed and so blue is k2d trended 108 00:04:31,999 --> 00:04:28,440 with Everest yellow is the original 109 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:32,009 Kepler up until about magnitude 15 or 14 110 00:04:36,570 --> 00:04:33,810 or 15 we recover original Kappa 111 00:04:40,440 --> 00:04:38,670 the science is coming out of this so 112 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:40,450 this is work in preparation led by Ethan 113 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:43,690 Cruz via University of Washington we are 114 00:04:46,890 --> 00:04:45,610 finding a lot more planets that have 115 00:04:49,890 --> 00:04:46,900 previously been missed by other 116 00:04:52,170 --> 00:04:49,900 pipelines and in particular relevant to 117 00:04:53,550 --> 00:04:52,180 today's session is that little region 118 00:04:55,860 --> 00:04:53,560 there which is a habitable zone now 119 00:04:58,010 --> 00:04:55,870 these are this is the very generous 120 00:05:01,110 --> 00:04:58,020 optimistic habitable zone bounded by 121 00:05:02,490 --> 00:05:01,120 Venus here and Mars here and so it might 122 00:05:05,340 --> 00:05:02,500 be a little optimistic about these ones 123 00:05:07,470 --> 00:05:05,350 near the edge but three of these points 124 00:05:10,320 --> 00:05:07,480 here are new and have not been found by 125 00:05:11,700 --> 00:05:10,330 previous pipelines if you're interested 126 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:11,710 in planets outside the habitable zone 127 00:05:15,060 --> 00:05:12,970 another cool thing that's coming out of 128 00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:15,070 this is we are finding tons of more 129 00:05:21,180 --> 00:05:17,170 multi-planet systems with our pipeline 130 00:05:23,580 --> 00:05:21,190 and so in total expect something like 131 00:05:26,730 --> 00:05:23,590 300 more k2 planets in the first eight 132 00:05:28,530 --> 00:05:26,740 campaigns several multis and three to 133 00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:28,540 four new small habitable zone planets 134 00:05:32,370 --> 00:05:30,250 coming soon there's a little family 135 00:05:33,840 --> 00:05:32,380 portrait of the four this one is 136 00:05:34,890 --> 00:05:33,850 slightly outside the habitable zone 137 00:05:36,270 --> 00:05:34,900 we're hoping that revised other 138 00:05:41,610 --> 00:05:36,280 parameters might actually scatter it in 139 00:05:43,050 --> 00:05:41,620 it would be very cool I wanted to so 140 00:05:44,970 --> 00:05:43,060 this is very recent stuff I wasn't 141 00:05:46,800 --> 00:05:44,980 planning on talking about this but since 142 00:05:48,210 --> 00:05:46,810 k2 observed Travis one I think that's 143 00:05:50,010 --> 00:05:48,220 the perfect time to talk about a 144 00:05:52,710 --> 00:05:50,020 habitable planets in the potentially 145 00:05:54,410 --> 00:05:52,720 habitable planets in Trappist now many 146 00:05:57,960 --> 00:05:54,420 of you know Trappist one seven 147 00:06:00,750 --> 00:05:57,970 transiting planets to nature papers 148 00:06:02,940 --> 00:06:00,760 earlier this year and last year kay to 149 00:06:07,200 --> 00:06:02,950 observe the Trappist one system recently 150 00:06:10,530 --> 00:06:07,210 and this is the raw light curve you can 151 00:06:13,560 --> 00:06:10,540 see some modulation due to star spots 152 00:06:15,420 --> 00:06:13,570 you can see some low laying outliers 153 00:06:18,170 --> 00:06:15,430 they could be transits it could just be 154 00:06:21,720 --> 00:06:18,180 noise after you de tren this light curve 155 00:06:24,060 --> 00:06:21,730 it is much clearer and in fact almost 156 00:06:25,620 --> 00:06:24,070 all of these points below the continuum 157 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:25,630 are transit and almost all of these 158 00:06:29,460 --> 00:06:27,010 points above the continuum are flares 159 00:06:31,710 --> 00:06:29,470 and so this star is either regular 160 00:06:33,540 --> 00:06:31,720 transit or a flare happening about 20% 161 00:06:37,410 --> 00:06:33,550 of the time this is the richest data set 162 00:06:38,790 --> 00:06:37,420 we know of for EXO planet transits and 163 00:06:41,420 --> 00:06:38,800 so it's very we're very lucky to have 164 00:06:45,450 --> 00:06:41,430 been able to play with this with k2 165 00:06:47,659 --> 00:06:45,460 here's a family portrait of the six the 166 00:06:49,879 --> 00:06:47,669 first six Trappist planets 167 00:06:53,119 --> 00:06:49,889 this is seen in k2 short cadence they 168 00:06:55,580 --> 00:06:53,129 trended with Everest this is the longest 169 00:06:57,409 --> 00:06:55,590 baseline light curve we have of the 170 00:07:00,080 --> 00:06:57,419 system so far just because k2 stared at 171 00:07:05,209 --> 00:07:00,090 it almost uninterrupted the leaf for 480 172 00:07:07,309 --> 00:07:05,219 days and so we we can do we're still 173 00:07:08,869 --> 00:07:07,319 working on transit timing variations you 174 00:07:10,519 --> 00:07:08,879 can usually constrain the masses very 175 00:07:12,860 --> 00:07:10,529 well those actually paper on the archive 176 00:07:15,290 --> 00:07:12,870 doing this we think we can revise the 177 00:07:16,700 --> 00:07:15,300 masses a little better but there's a 178 00:07:20,179 --> 00:07:16,710 very cool stuff coming out of this data 179 00:07:22,580 --> 00:07:20,189 out of this data set here are the 180 00:07:25,399 --> 00:07:22,590 habitable zone planets EF and G or in 181 00:07:27,469 --> 00:07:25,409 the conservative habitable zone D is a 182 00:07:33,709 --> 00:07:27,479 little near the edge perhaps 183 00:07:36,230 --> 00:07:33,719 uncomfortably so and I'm missing H from 184 00:07:38,749 --> 00:07:36,240 that diagram and that's because so in 185 00:07:41,420 --> 00:07:38,759 our paper from last month that we put on 186 00:07:45,079 --> 00:07:41,430 archive we used k2 to confirm H and 187 00:07:48,529 --> 00:07:45,089 detect its period and here is the raw 188 00:07:49,999 --> 00:07:48,539 data and you can see that after 189 00:07:52,399 --> 00:07:50,009 successive D trending the transit 190 00:07:54,890 --> 00:07:52,409 appears you would not have been able to 191 00:08:00,379 --> 00:07:54,900 see that from the from the raw Laker and 192 00:08:03,439 --> 00:08:00,389 so here is the folded light curve on the 193 00:08:05,149 --> 00:08:03,449 four transits of H that we detected this 194 00:08:06,980 --> 00:08:05,159 planet so the reason I'm putting the 195 00:08:09,260 --> 00:08:06,990 slide up here is because H is smaller 196 00:08:10,790 --> 00:08:09,270 than the earth and it's further it's 197 00:08:12,559 --> 00:08:10,800 outside the habitable zone beyond the 198 00:08:16,429 --> 00:08:12,569 habitable zone and yet k2 can still 199 00:08:17,779 --> 00:08:16,439 detect it and so k2 because of its if 200 00:08:20,719 --> 00:08:17,789 you'da trend it properly just because if 201 00:08:23,959 --> 00:08:20,729 it's awesome collecting power is still a 202 00:08:25,760 --> 00:08:23,969 great observer observatory for detecting 203 00:08:31,670 --> 00:08:25,770 planets in the habitable zone especially 204 00:08:32,959 --> 00:08:31,680 small ones and we have fuel left on the 205 00:08:34,490 --> 00:08:32,969 spacecraft and so we should continue to 206 00:08:36,589 --> 00:08:34,500 do that 207 00:08:40,430 --> 00:08:36,599 and I just wanted to conclude very 208 00:08:43,370 --> 00:08:40,440 briefly with some links here so the 209 00:08:45,590 --> 00:08:43,380 everest pipeline is open source you can 210 00:08:48,230 --> 00:08:45,600 check it out on github or you can pip 211 00:08:50,900 --> 00:08:48,240 install it if you use python and you can 212 00:08:53,030 --> 00:08:50,910 check out our papers here we are going 213 00:08:56,780 --> 00:08:53,040 to continue d trending all the campaigns 214 00:09:01,610 --> 00:08:56,790 for k2 a long-ago spacecraft spacecraft 215 00:09:05,210 --> 00:09:03,470 keep an eye out for our paper with the 216 00:09:14,330 --> 00:09:05,220 with a new habits on planets so thank 217 00:09:16,460 --> 00:09:14,340 you all right we have time for some 218 00:09:19,490 --> 00:09:16,470 questions if you're able to be to come 219 00:09:21,910 --> 00:09:19,500 up to the microphone not telescopes 220 00:09:24,710 --> 00:09:21,920 wrong word 221 00:09:27,230 --> 00:09:24,720 that was great um do you have stellar 222 00:09:30,800 --> 00:09:27,240 information for those habitable zone 223 00:09:32,420 --> 00:09:30,810 planets what do you mean by stellar 224 00:09:34,460 --> 00:09:32,430 information what kind of stress 225 00:09:37,880 --> 00:09:34,470 oh so one is an M and I think the other 226 00:09:40,190 --> 00:09:37,890 three are K are these the new one yeah 227 00:09:42,500 --> 00:09:40,200 then maybe there early am I'm not I'm 228 00:09:51,130 --> 00:09:42,510 not exactly sure I'd have to ask Ethan 229 00:09:51,140 --> 00:09:56,060 yeah 230 00:10:03,470 --> 00:10:00,139 okay sorry can you say anything about 231 00:10:06,019 --> 00:10:03,480 the flaring on Travis one from the k2 232 00:10:07,970 --> 00:10:06,029 bikers yes so we have a paper in 233 00:10:17,420 --> 00:10:07,980 preparation on that I'm not leading that 234 00:10:25,940 --> 00:10:20,540 I can't remember the flaring rate off 235 00:10:27,560 --> 00:10:25,950 the top of my head what can we say so so 236 00:10:31,160 --> 00:10:27,570 based on the flaring and the and the 237 00:10:33,260 --> 00:10:31,170 rotation period which is three days it's 238 00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:33,270 consistent all we can say in the paper 239 00:10:39,650 --> 00:10:35,250 at least is that it's consistent with 240 00:10:41,600 --> 00:10:39,660 the middle-aged late I'm dwarf I don't 241 00:10:43,100 --> 00:10:41,610 know what what exactly they're working 242 00:10:47,750 --> 00:10:43,110 on in the flare modeling right now with 243 00:10:50,180 --> 00:10:47,760 it thank you John Grunsfeld NASA have 244 00:10:52,700 --> 00:10:50,190 you thought it all about contemporaneous 245 00:10:55,250 --> 00:10:52,710 parallel observations with k2 and tests 246 00:10:57,050 --> 00:10:55,260 to try and you know help test Commission 247 00:10:58,880 --> 00:10:57,060 essentially or what you know what you 248 00:11:01,490 --> 00:10:58,890 could learn and with your greater 249 00:11:04,280 --> 00:11:01,500 sensitivity you know so that the test 250 00:11:04,790 --> 00:11:04,290 can start discovering faster that's a 251 00:11:07,880 --> 00:11:04,800 good idea 252 00:11:09,260 --> 00:11:07,890 no I had not thought about that yeah 253 00:11:13,460 --> 00:11:09,270 that's a good question for the for the 254 00:11:13,700 --> 00:11:13,470 Kepler team yeah something to think 255 00:11:16,640 --> 00:11:13,710 about 256 00:11:17,560 --> 00:11:16,650 thank you all right let's give a Rodrigo